factor it in? >> certainly you could consider what will be israel's response in relation to the development of iran's nuclear program. now that we've passed u.s. elections, will they show up and potentially suggest military intervention. of course that kichd development could easily add $10 to $20 on the i'll price. relative to demand, i think we're more optimistic in the sense that we're seeing the u.s. economy turn around. we have positive readings in chinese pmi data. we short term we'll get a seasonal kick with winter setting in. so all of those aspects in terms of demand will be supportive of prices. but it's ultimately very difficult to sort of balance out the net effects of trend growth in the world economy versus supply side risk and geopolitical tension. we're typically constructive on oil prices, but again with an element of caution. there are other risks out there especially in the shoth term. concerns over the u.s. fiscal cliff, for example, is one of them. >> and as you mentioned, concerns about the relationship. a hoegs was passed by by a pretty good margin.